华峰测控(688200):25Q3业绩超预期,SoC测试机8600蓄势待发

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported a significant performance in Q3 2025, with revenue reaching 939 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 51.21%, and a net profit of 387 million yuan, up 81.57% year-on-year, exceeding market expectations [5] - The demand for semiconductor back-end testing equipment is strong, with the company’s growth significantly outpacing the industry. The global semiconductor equipment shipment value reached 33.07 billion USD in Q2 2025, a 24% year-on-year increase, driven by advanced logic processes and increased shipments in Asia [8] - The company’s new product, the STS8600 series, targets high-performance SoC chip testing, including applications in AI and HPC, which is expected to benefit from a new wave of domestic substitution [8] - The profit forecast has been raised, with expected net profits for 2025-2027 at 474 million, 623 million, and 780 million yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 57X, 43X, and 35X [8] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is projected at 1,217 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 34.4% [7] - The net profit for 2025 is estimated at 474 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 42.1% [7] - The gross margin is expected to be 73.8% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 12.1% [7]