Willfar(SH:688100) Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-02 06:44Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a maintained rating for the next six months [8]. Core Insights - The company has shown continuous growth in revenue and net profit, with a revenue of 2.112 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing an 8.8% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of 474 million yuan, up 12.24% year-on-year [1]. - The company has a strong order backlog, with new contracts signed amounting to 2.494 billion yuan in the first three quarters, leading to a total backlog of 3.824 billion yuan, which is a 1.55% increase year-on-year [3]. - The company is committed to returning value to investors, promising a baseline dividend rate of 40% for the next five years starting in 2025, and has distributed a total of 1.08 billion yuan in cash dividends since its listing [4]. - The integration of AI technology is driving rapid growth in new business areas, particularly in smart power systems and smart cities, enhancing operational efficiency and reliability [5]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net asset return rate of 14.26%, an increase of 0.24 percentage points year-on-year, and a net cash flow from operating activities of 401 million yuan, which is a 1.95% improvement [3]. - The company’s revenue is projected to grow from 2.225 billion yuan in 2023 to 4.533 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits expected to rise from 525 million yuan to 1.081 billion yuan over the same period [6]. - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 1.05 yuan in 2023 to 2.20 yuan in 2027, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio decreasing from 35.12 to 16.78 during this time [6]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has made significant progress in its global expansion, with domestic revenue of 1.705 billion yuan (up 6.21% year-on-year) and international revenue of 398 million yuan (up 20.98% year-on-year) for the first nine months of 2025 [2]. - The company is focusing on deepening its industrial development in digital grids, communications, and smart city solutions, aiming to capitalize on emerging trends such as virtual power plants and new energy storage [6].