Workflow
赛力斯(601127):系列点评三:2025Q3业绩稳健向上,发力具身智能

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company reported a steady performance in Q3 2025, with total revenue of 110.53 billion yuan for the first nine months, a year-on-year increase of 3.7%. Q3 revenue reached 48.13 billion yuan, up 15.8% year-on-year and 11.3% quarter-on-quarter [1][2]. - The average selling price (ASP) per vehicle in Q3 2025 was 339,000 yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 2,800 yuan and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 700 yuan, driven by the delivery of high-end new models [2][3]. - The company delivered a total of 341,000 vehicles in the first nine months of 2025, a decrease of 7.8% year-on-year, but Q3 deliveries were strong at 142,000 vehicles, up 6.3% year-on-year and 9.1% quarter-on-quarter [3]. - The company is advancing into the humanoid robot industry through a partnership with ByteDance, leveraging AI technology to enhance its growth potential [3][4]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenues of 160.67 billion yuan, with net profits projected at 8.43 billion yuan. The forecast for 2026 and 2027 shows continued growth, with revenues reaching 202.50 billion yuan and 246.30 billion yuan, respectively, and net profits of 11.20 billion yuan and 13.82 billion yuan [5][9]. - The report indicates a significant increase in profitability, with a projected net profit growth rate of 41.7% for 2025 and 33.0% for 2026 [5][10]. - The company's price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is expected to decrease from 30 in 2025 to 18 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics over time [4][10].