好未来(TAL):业务增长态势良好,利润超预期
TALTAL(US:TAL) EBSCN·2025-11-02 09:30

Investment Rating - The report upgrades the investment rating of the company to "Buy" [4] Core Insights - The company, TAL Education Group, reported strong business growth with revenue of $861 million for FY26Q2, representing a year-on-year increase of 39.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was $124 million, up 116.1% year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit reached $136 million, reflecting an 82.7% increase year-on-year [1][3] - The learning services and other segments showed robust growth, with offline small class and online value-added course revenues both increasing year-on-year. The deferred revenue at the end of FY26Q2 was $823 million, up 58.9% year-on-year, indicating strong demand resilience [1] - The learning device segment also saw continued growth, with revenue and sales increasing year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, driven by new product launches and channel expansion. The average selling price of learning devices fell below 4000 yuan due to changes in product mix [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY26Q2, the company achieved a gross margin of 57.0%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points year-on-year. The net profit margin was 14.4%, up 5.1 percentage points year-on-year, while Non-GAAP net profit margin was 15.8%, an increase of 3.8 percentage points year-on-year [3] - The company has adjusted its net profit forecasts for FY2026 to FY2028 to $224 million, $305 million, and $408 million respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 33x, 24x, and 18x [4] Business Segments - The learning services segment is expected to continue expanding the number of learning centers, driving revenue growth, although the growth rate may gradually slow due to increasing base figures and a focus on sustainable growth [1] - The learning device segment's user engagement remains high, with an average weekly active rate of approximately 80% and daily usage time exceeding one hour per device [2] Market Position - TAL Education Group is positioned as a leader in the domestic education industry, with strong growth momentum in its learning devices, particularly the Xueersi learning machines. The company is expected to see significant performance improvement as profitability enhances [4]