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宝钢股份(600019):量利环比增长,高端产品占比稳步攀升

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a current price of 7.37 yuan [5]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 232.436 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.29%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 35.32% to 7.959 billion yuan, and the net profit excluding non-recurring items rose by 46.43% to 8.036 billion yuan [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 81.064 billion yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.28% and a year-on-year increase of 1.83%. The net profit for Q3 was 3.081 billion yuan, up 26.00% quarter-on-quarter and 130.31% year-on-year [1]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company sold 39.26 million tons of steel, a year-on-year increase of 1.97%. In Q3 alone, steel sales reached 13.95 million tons, marking a 7.39% year-on-year increase and a 6.65% quarter-on-quarter increase [2]. - The gross profit per ton of steel improved in Q3 2025, with the company achieving a gross profit of 451 yuan per ton, an increase of 57 yuan per ton from the previous quarter [2]. Future Outlook - The company is focusing on deepening product management and leveraging export opportunities, with differentiated product sales increasing by 13.9% year-on-year to 25.689 million tons [3]. - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including a 49% stake in Ma Steel, which has led to a significant increase in crude steel production capacity [3]. - Key projects are progressing, including the development of high-end silicon steel and zero-carbon steel products, which will enhance the company's high-end product capacity [3]. Financial Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 10.766 billion yuan, 12.195 billion yuan, and 13.567 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively. The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are expected to be 15, 13, and 12 [4][8].