军信股份(301109):主业稳健+仁和环境并表亮眼,Q3、Q1-3归母业绩同比增48%、49%

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.85 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 6.23%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 2.05 billion yuan, up 47.64% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.99 billion yuan, an increase of 48.53% year-on-year. The impressive performance is attributed to the consolidation of Renhe Environment and stable organic growth, with significant improvements in waste incineration efficiency and contributions from the Liuyang and Pingjiang projects [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 21.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.21%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 6.05 billion yuan, up 48.69% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 5.84 billion yuan, growing by 55.54% year-on-year [6]. Operational Highlights - The company has seen a significant increase in operational efficiency, with a 7.89% rise in the amount of household waste processed, totaling 2.7004 million tons. The electricity generated from waste increased by 17.53% to 1.294 billion kWh, with a notable 4.72% increase in electricity generated per ton of waste [13]. Strategic Developments - The company is actively expanding into overseas markets, having signed an agreement with the Kyrgyz Republic for a total processing capacity of 7,000 tons per day. This includes a project in Bishkek with a planned capacity of 3,000 tons per day, expected to commence operations by the end of 2025 [13]. Cash Flow and Dividends - The net cash flow from operating activities for the first three quarters of 2025 was 11.58 billion yuan, a 60.26% increase year-on-year. The company has maintained a consistent dividend payout, with a commitment to a minimum dividend ratio of 50% [13]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to the parent company of 7.67 billion yuan, 8.33 billion yuan, and 9.02 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding EPS growth rates of -25.7%, 8.6%, and 8.3% [13].