CITIC Steel(SZ:000708) Orient Securities·2025-11-02 12:06Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 20.74 CNY, based on a projected PE of 17X for comparable companies in 2026 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company has achieved a significant increase in both sales volume and profit margins, leading to a robust profit growth outlook. In Q3 2025, the company reported a net profit of approximately 15.3 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 37.93% [10]. - The demand for special steel products is expected to grow, driven by the high-end equipment manufacturing and energy sectors, which will likely enhance the company's performance [10]. - The report highlights a favorable shift in the industry supply side and cost structure, which may further support profit growth for the company [10]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 1.16, 1.22, and 1.30 CNY, respectively, reflecting an upward revision from previous estimates [3]. - The company’s revenue is forecasted to decline slightly from 114,019 million CNY in 2023 to 107,122 million CNY in 2025, with a projected revenue growth rate of -1.9% in 2025 [4]. - The gross profit margin is expected to improve from 13.1% in 2023 to 15.1% by 2027, indicating a positive trend in profitability [4].