SAIC MOTOR(SH:600104) Minsheng Securities·2025-11-02 12:26Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company, with a target price of 16.63 CNY per share, corresponding to a PE ratio of 15/13/11 for the years 2025-2027 [5][7]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 468.99 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.1 billion CNY, up 17.3% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit surged by 578.6% to 7.12 billion CNY [1]. - In Q3 2025, total revenue reached 169.4 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.2% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.7%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.08 billion CNY, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 643.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 30.4% [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the introduction of several new models, including the Roewe M7 DMH and the new MG4, which are anticipated to enhance sales and improve brand performance [2]. Revenue and Profitability - The Q3 2025 gross margin was reported at 10.3%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.3 percentage points but an increase of 0.7 percentage points from the previous quarter. This improvement is attributed to product mix enhancements and reduced competition [3]. - The company’s investment income for Q3 2025 was 3.43 billion CNY, with a notable increase in income from joint ventures and associates, which rose to 1.78 billion CNY, up 6.9 billion CNY from the previous quarter [3]. Strategic Partnerships - The company has partnered with Huawei to launch the new SUV model, the Shangjie H5, which has received strong market interest, achieving over 10,000 pre-orders within the first hour of its launch [4]. This collaboration is expected to enhance the company's technological capabilities and sales performance [4]. Financial Forecast - The company’s projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 687.76 billion CNY, 722.06 billion CNY, and 776.21 billion CNY, respectively. The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 12.41 billion CNY, 14.28 billion CNY, and 16.85 billion CNY for the same period [5][6].