Xianhe(SH:603733) EBSCN·2025-11-02 13:09Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Xianhe Co., Ltd. (603733.SH) with a current price of 22.86 CNY [1] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 9.06 billion CNY for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 24.8%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.8% to 780 million CNY [5][6] - The revenue for Q1, Q2, and Q3 of 2025 was 2.99 billion CNY, 3.00 billion CNY, and 3.07 billion CNY respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.4%, 25.3%, and 15.5% [5] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 14.0%, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year, while Q3 2025 gross margin was 14.6%, stable year-on-year and up 1.8 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [6][7] Revenue and Profitability - The company has seen an increase in production and sales, which has driven revenue growth in Q3. New production capacities in Hubei and Guangxi have been gradually put into operation since early 2024, contributing to the revenue expansion [6] - The average price per ton of specialty pulp paper for Q1, Q2, and Q3 of 2025 was approximately 7480 CNY, 6920 CNY, and 6830 CNY respectively, with a slight decrease in Q3 [7] - The company’s net profit for 2025-2027 is projected to be 1.09 billion CNY, 1.32 billion CNY, and 1.59 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.55 CNY, 1.86 CNY, and 2.24 CNY [8] Financial Metrics - The company’s operating expenses ratio for the first three quarters of 2025 was 6.4%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year. The financial expense ratio increased primarily due to the capitalization of interest expenses from fixed asset loans [8] - The projected revenue growth rates for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.94%, 18.72%, and 17.45% respectively, indicating a strong growth trajectory [10] - The company is expected to maintain a gross margin of 14.6% in 2025, with a gradual increase to 15.2% by 2027 [13] Market Position and Future Outlook - Xianhe Co., Ltd. is positioned as a leading enterprise in the specialty paper sector, with significant expansion projects in Guangxi, Hubei, and Sichuan underway. The company aims to capture a larger share of the global market through diversified product offerings and high-end customized products [8] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 15, 12, and 10 for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting a favorable valuation for potential investors [10][14]