EXPL(SZ:002096) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-03 02:43Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company [2] Core Insights - The company reported slightly better-than-expected performance for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 7.356 billion yuan (YoY +17%) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 644 million yuan (YoY +23%) [7] - New mining service orders exceeded 10 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, benefiting from the construction of the Yarlung Tsangpo River hydropower project [7] - The company has established a comprehensive service system centered on integrated civil explosives, focusing on major mining areas, particularly in Xinjiang, where coal production has significantly increased [7] - The acquisition of a 51% stake in Songguang Explosives is expected to enhance the company's explosive production capacity [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 10.076 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17.9% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be 885 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 24.2% [6] - Earnings per share are expected to reach 0.71 yuan in 2025, with a projected PE ratio of 19 [6]