Hengrui Pharma(SH:600276) China Post Securities·2025-11-03 03:14Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected stock price increase of over 20% relative to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [2][14]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 231.8 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 14.9%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 57.5 billion yuan, up 24.5% year-on-year [4][5]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 74.3 billion yuan, a 12.7% increase, with a net profit of 13.0 billion yuan, marking a 9.5% growth [4][5]. - The company is expected to confirm a collaboration payment from GSK in Q4, which is anticipated to contribute to revenue growth [5]. Financial Performance Summary - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 86.2%, with a net profit margin of 24.8% [6]. - The company’s net profit margin for Q3 2025 was 17.6%, with a slight decrease of 0.5 percentage points compared to the previous quarter [6]. - The projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 344.4 billion yuan, 390.5 billion yuan, and 438.8 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 91.8 billion yuan, 107.0 billion yuan, and 117.7 billion yuan [7][10]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation Metrics - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 1.38 yuan, 1.61 yuan, and 1.77 yuan, respectively [10][13]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the same years are projected to be 45, 39, and 35 times [7][10]. - The company is recognized as a leading innovative pharmaceutical enterprise in China, with a highly differentiated product matrix [7].