FOTON(SH:600166) Guohai Securities·2025-11-03 03:05Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][10] Core Insights - The company has achieved its highest wholesale market share in heavy trucks in 10 years, with significant improvements in cash flow and profitability year-on-year [2][6] - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 45.45 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.11 billion yuan, up 157.5% year-on-year [5][6] - The company’s annualized ROE has reached its highest level since 2013, indicating strong profitability and cash flow quality [7][9] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The company’s heavy truck wholesale market share reached 12.6% in the first three quarters of 2025, the highest in a decade, with exports of 26,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 30% [6] - The company’s light truck sales totaled 329,000 units, with a market share of 18.3%, and sales of 74,000 new energy vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 113.4% [6] Financial Metrics - The company’s revenue for Q3 2025 was 15.08 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.9%, with a net profit of 336 million yuan compared to 20 million yuan in the same period last year [5][6] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 9.9%, with significant improvements in expense ratios across sales, management, and R&D [7][9] Future Projections - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 55.94 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 17%, and a net profit of 1.495 billion yuan, reflecting a substantial increase of 1756% [8][9] - The projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 15.89, 13.45, and 10.78 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [8][10]