广钢气体（688548）：电子大宗驱动高质增长，盈利拐点或已显现

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [4][25][27] Core Views - The company has shown continuous improvement in profitability and operational quality in the first three quarters of 2025, with a revenue of 1.721 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.85%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 201 million yuan, up 10.64% year-on-year [1][8] - The growth in revenue and profit is primarily driven by the new electronic bulk gas projects that have commenced production, leading to a significant increase in both revenue and profit in the third quarter [1][8] - The company is actively expanding its electronic bulk gas market, solidifying its leading position in the domestic electronic bulk sector, and has successfully secured multiple on-site gas production projects in various cities [2][17] - The helium supply chain has been continuously improved, with helium prices stabilizing after a period of decline, which is expected to mitigate risks associated with extreme events [3][21][23] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a net cash flow from operating activities of 650 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 71.99%, attributed to improved accounts receivable management [1][8] - The third quarter saw a revenue of 607 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.40%, and a net profit of 83 million yuan, up 82.47% year-on-year [1][8] Market Expansion - The company is closely following national chip development strategies and is deeply involved in the conductor industry development plan, focusing on expanding its electronic bulk business [2][17] - The execution cycle for electronic bulk gas projects is typically over 15 years, providing stable and predictable profitability [2][17] Helium Supply Chain - Since entering the global helium supply chain in 2020, the company has been developing new long-term gas sources and diversifying its supply channels [3][21] - As of November 2, 2025, the market price for high-purity bottled helium in Guangdong was 600 yuan per bottle, indicating a stabilization in prices [23][24] Investment Recommendations - The profit forecast for 2025-2026 has been cautiously adjusted downwards due to the impact of declining helium prices, with net profit estimates revised to 277 million yuan and 364 million yuan respectively [4][25] - The expected diluted EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.21, 0.28, and 0.36 yuan, with corresponding PE ratios of 64.2, 48.7, and 37.4 [4][25][27]