HEGC(SZ:000883) HTSC·2025-11-03 03:37Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve significant profit growth in 2025, with a projected net profit of 2,303 million RMB, representing a year-on-year increase of 26.97% [7][10] - The company's valuation remains attractive, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 13.31 for 2025, indicating a low valuation compared to its growth potential [6][10] - The company has experienced a recovery in hydropower generation due to improved water conditions, with a year-on-year increase of 9.90% in Q3 2025 [8] - The company plans to invest 26.7 billion RMB in clean energy projects in Xiangyang during the 14th Five-Year Plan period, which is expected to contribute to future growth [9] Financial Performance Summary - For the first nine months of 2025, the company reported revenue of 135.21 billion RMB, a decrease of 12.24% year-on-year, while net profit was 23.36 billion RMB, down 5.07% year-on-year [7] - The company’s hydropower generation in Q3 2025 was 33.60 billion kWh, with a significant recovery from earlier in the year [8] - The company’s net profit forecast for 2025 has been adjusted upwards by 35.28% to 2,303 million RMB due to non-recurring gains from the disposal of an associate [10][13] Valuation Metrics - The company’s projected PE ratio for 2025 is 13.31, with a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.87, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [6][10] - The target market capitalization is set at 38.08 billion RMB, with a target price of 5.88 RMB per share [10][21]