SRBC(SH:600039) Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-03 05:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in profitability, with a Q3 net profit increase of 59.72% year-on-year, reaching 25.2 billion yuan [1]. - New signed orders for the first three quarters of 2025 totaled 971.73 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 25.16%, indicating strong demand and project development [2]. - The company's net profit margin improved to 7.27% for the first three quarters, up 0.47 percentage points year-on-year, with a notable Q3 margin of 8.53% [3]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 732.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.95%, and a net profit of 53 billion yuan, up 11.04% [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 15.12%, a slight decrease of 0.64 percentage points year-on-year, while the expense ratio improved to 5.92%, down 0.98 percentage points [3]. - The company expects to distribute cash dividends of 2.78 billion yuan in mid-2025, demonstrating strong dividend capability [4]. Order and Project Development - The company secured 826.70 billion yuan in new infrastructure orders in the first three quarters, marking a 26% increase year-on-year, with significant projects in both domestic and international markets [2]. - Key projects include the Jiangsu Zhangjingao Yangtze River Bridge and the Chengdu to Qionglai Highway expansion, enhancing the company's market presence [2]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 78 billion yuan, 86 billion yuan, and 95 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, suggesting a positive outlook for growth [4]. - Revenue projections indicate a recovery trend, with expected growth rates of 8.07%, 10.56%, and 10.83% for the years 2025 to 2027 [5].