Workflow
九州通(600998):2025 年三季报点评:业务结构优化,经营趋势向好

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 6.30 CNY, based on a 14x PE ratio for 2025 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company has shown a steady growth in its pharmaceutical distribution business, achieving a revenue of 119.3 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. The net profit attributable to the parent company reached 1.98 billion CNY, up 16.5% year-on-year [9]. - New business segments, particularly digital logistics, are expected to continue their rapid growth, with revenue from digital logistics and supply chain solutions increasing by 25.0% year-on-year [9]. - The company is actively introducing new products, with 81 new agency drugs added in the first three quarters of 2025, contributing to a strong profit growth momentum in the CSO business [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 150.14 billion CNY - 2024: 151.81 billion CNY - 2025: 162.73 billion CNY (7.2% growth) - 2026: 174.35 billion CNY (7.1% growth) - 2027: 186.71 billion CNY (7.1% growth) [4][10] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be: - 2023: 2.17 billion CNY - 2024: 2.51 billion CNY - 2025: 2.27 billion CNY (9.4% decline) - 2026: 2.38 billion CNY (4.6% growth) - 2027: 2.69 billion CNY (13.1% growth) [4][10]. - The earnings per share (EPS) forecast is: - 2023: 0.43 CNY - 2024: 0.50 CNY - 2025: 0.45 CNY - 2026: 0.47 CNY - 2027: 0.53 CNY [4][10].