SANQI HUYU(SZ:002555) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-03 05:53Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a Q3 revenue of 3.97 billion, a year-over-year decrease of 3%, while the net profit attributable to the parent company was 940 million, showing a year-over-year increase of 49% [6]. - The mini-games segment has entered a profit recovery phase, significantly improving profitability. The company's older products remain stable, and while new releases in the second half of the year are limited, the self-developed MMO "Douluo Dalu: Hunting Soul World" launched in July met expectations, although its contribution to Q3 is unclear [6]. - The company’s gross margin for Q3 was 76.9%, stable compared to previous periods, and the net profit margin increased by 8.4 percentage points year-over-year to 23.8% [6]. - The company has a robust dividend policy, distributing 462 million in Q3 and a total of 1.386 billion in the first three quarters, with a dividend payout ratio of 59% [6]. - The company has a rich pipeline with over 20 projects, including self-developed products and agency titles, indicating strong future growth potential [6]. - The revenue forecast has been adjusted downwards due to weaker-than-expected performance from "Douluo Dalu: Hunting Soul World," but profit forecasts have been raised due to better-than-expected profit release from mini-games [6]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue for 2025 is estimated at 16.44 billion, with a year-over-year decrease of 5.7%. The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 3.205 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 19.9% [5]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is expected to be 1.45 yuan, with a gross margin of 77.0% and a return on equity (ROE) of 23.0% [5]. - The company’s PE ratio for 2026 and 2027 is projected to be 13x and 12x, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [6].