奥瑞金(002701):费用管控良好,加速海外布局盈利能力改善可期

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [2][6] Core Views - The company has demonstrated effective cost control, and its overseas expansion is expected to improve profitability [5][7] - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 18.346 billion, a year-on-year increase of 68.97%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.076 billion, up 41.40% year-on-year [5][6] - The company is consolidating its position in the metal packaging industry through the integration of COFCO Packaging, which is expected to enhance its market advantage [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - The company's gross margin and net margin for the first three quarters of 2025 were 13.52% and 6.02%, respectively, down 3.78 and 0.93 percentage points year-on-year [6] - The company has effectively managed its expenses, with a period expense ratio of 7.89%, a decrease of 0.44 percentage points year-on-year, and a significant reduction in management expense ratio to 4.15% [6] - Inventory turnover days decreased by 9.70 days to 38.32 days, with an inventory turnover rate of 7.05 times, an increase of 1.43 times year-on-year [6] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see slight growth in performance in 2024, with a forecasted EPS of 0.47, 0.51, and 0.56 for 2025-2027, respectively [10] - The company is investing in production lines in Thailand and Kazakhstan, with total investments of 442 million and 647 million, respectively, to enhance its overseas business [8][10]