江苏银行(600919):营收表现持续亮眼,存贷扩张积极

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for Jiangsu Bank, expecting the stock to outperform the market by over 20% within the next six months [13]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Bank reported a revenue of 67.2 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 30.6 billion yuan, up 8.3% year-on-year [4][7]. - The bank's total asset scale grew by 27.8% year-on-year, with loans increasing by 17.9% and deposits by 22.5% [4][7]. - The bank's net interest income rose by 19.6% year-on-year, indicating a recovery in interest margin, while non-interest income saw a decline of 16.0% due to bond market volatility [7]. - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 0.84%, reflecting solid asset quality [7]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For 2025, the projected operating income is 85.5 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 6.1%, and net profit is expected to reach 35.1 billion yuan, growing at 10.2% [6][11]. - The bank's return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 14.5% in 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) expected to be 1.91 yuan [6][11]. Asset Quality - The NPL ratio is forecasted to decrease slightly to 0.88% by 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 321% [10][11]. - The bank's credit cost is expected to decline to 0.80% by 2025, indicating improved asset quality management [11]. Growth Prospects - The bank is expected to benefit from regional advantages and ongoing retail transformation, which will enhance profitability and quality [9]. - The projected growth rates for loans and deposits are 11.4% and 15.0% respectively for 2025 [11].