Thinkon Semi(SH:688233) China Post Securities·2025-11-03 12:10Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing steady performance with positive developments across various business segments. The storage chip market prices are on the rise, enhancing industry recovery expectations. The company's silicon component products are focused on the domestic market, showing steady sales growth and playing a unique role in the construction of China's semiconductor supply chain security [3][4] - The company has transitioned from a raw material supplier to a "materials + components" company rooted in the domestic market, with its silicon components now contributing significantly to total revenue [4][11] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 4.5 billion, 7.5 billion, and 12 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 1 billion, 2.2 billion, and 3.7 billion yuan [5][10] Company Overview - The latest closing price of the company's stock is 52.78 yuan, with a total market capitalization of 9 billion yuan. The company has a total share capital of 170 million shares, all of which are circulating [2] - The company's largest shareholder is More Bright Lighting Co., Ltd. [2] Financial Performance and Forecast - For the fiscal year 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of 303 million yuan, with a growth rate of 124.19%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 1.198 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 60.11% [10][13] - The company's net profit is forecasted to grow from 41.15 million yuan in 2024 to 373.74 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a significant increase in profitability [10][13] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is expected to rise from 0.24 yuan in 2024 to 2.19 yuan in 2027 [10][13] Market Dynamics - The domestic storage chip manufacturers in China are rapidly developing, surpassing overseas competitors in both cutting-edge technology and market share, thus altering the global industry landscape. The demand for supply chain security is urgent, and domestic equipment manufacturers are continuously improving their technology [4][11] - The semiconductor industry is undergoing a structural change, with a significant increase in capital expenditure from global tech giants, which is expected to drive demand for storage chips and related components [11]