Guobo Electronics (SH:688375) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-03 12:43Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Guobo Electronics (688375) [1] Core Views - Short-term performance is impacted by demand fluctuations, but new product mass production is expected to drive future high growth [7] - The company reported a revenue of 1.569 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 13.5%, and a net profit of 247 million yuan, down 19.4% year-on-year [4] - Q3 2025 revenue was 498 million yuan, a decline of 2.5% year-on-year, with a net profit of 46 million yuan, down 26.0% year-on-year [4] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue forecast for 2025 is 2.806 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.3% [6] - Net profit for 2025 is projected at 502 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 3.6% [6] - The company’s gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 38.12%, an increase of 1.73 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is estimated at 8.2% [6] Company Analysis - The cyclical fluctuations in downstream demand are affecting the main business, but new product mass production is expected to restore revenue growth [7] - The company is expanding its application fields for T/R components and has begun delivering multiple products for low-orbit satellites and commercial aerospace [7] - The company has successfully mass-produced silicon-based gallium nitride power amplifier chips in collaboration with leading domestic terminal manufacturers, with over 1 million units delivered [7] - Inventory and accounts payable remain high, indicating strong downstream demand and industry prosperity [7] - The company benefits from its strong technical background and dual-market strategy, with military and civilian products expected to see rapid growth as demand increases [7]