巨化股份（600160）：25Q3公司业绩维持高增，看好制冷剂景气度延续

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in performance for Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 20.394 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.89%, and net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.248 billion yuan, up 158.29% year-on-year [5][6] - The refrigerant business has been a key driver of the company's high growth, with a notable improvement in operating cash flow [6] - The supply of refrigerants is expected to remain tight due to quota constraints, which should sustain the industry's favorable conditions [7] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 4.424 billion, 5.737 billion, and 6.666 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to P/E ratios of 22, 17, and 14 times respectively [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 20.394 billion yuan, with a net profit of 3.248 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 158.29% [5] - In Q3 2025 alone, the company reported revenue of 7.062 billion yuan, a 21.22% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.197 billion yuan, up 182.82% year-on-year [5][6] Business Segments - The refrigerant segment generated revenue of 9.352 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.01%, significantly contributing to the overall performance [6] - Other segments such as petrochemical materials and basic chemicals showed varied performance, with some segments experiencing declines [6] Market Outlook - The 2026 refrigerant quota is set to decrease, which is expected to maintain a tight balance in the refrigerant industry [7] - Demand for refrigerants is anticipated to grow due to increased production and sales of household air conditioners and automobiles [7] Investment Projections - The company is expected to maintain strong profit growth, with projected net profits increasing significantly over the next few years [8]