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新易盛(300502):Q3收入阶段波动,盈利能力环比提升

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company has continued high growth in the first three quarters, with Q3 revenue showing slight fluctuations due to seasonal adjustments in shipment schedules, while maintaining industry-leading gross margins and effective cost control, resulting in improved profitability [2][4] - Customer orders and demand indicators remain optimistic, with new products such as 1.6T and silicon photonics progressing well, alongside the gradual release of production capacity in Thailand and steady strategic inventory buildup, providing ample growth momentum [2] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 16.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 221.7%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 6.33 billion yuan, up 284.4% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, operating revenue was 6.07 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 152.5% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 5.0% [4] - The gross margin for Q3 reached 46.9%, an increase of 5.4 percentage points year-on-year and 0.3 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, maintaining an industry-leading level [11] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 39.3%, up 6.8 percentage points year-on-year and 2.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating robust overall profitability [11] Product and Market Dynamics - The demand for high-speed optical modules is strong, driven by ongoing investments in AI computing power. The proportion of products with 800G and above continues to rise, with expectations for 1.6T products to enter a sustained growth phase in Q4 and next year [11] - The company is actively advancing overseas capacity construction and strategic inventory to meet strong downstream demand, with the second phase of the Thailand factory steadily contributing to capacity release [11] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits for 2025-2027 to be 8.763 billion yuan, 15.124 billion yuan, and 19.744 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 209%, 73%, and 31%. The price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 39 times, 23 times, and 17 times [11]