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国信通信? 2026年策略会发言:光通信持续高景气,为AI算力互联铺路
Guoxin Securities· 2025-11-15 09:49
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the communication industry [1] Core Insights - The communication industry is experiencing sustained high demand, driven by advancements in AI and the development of intelligent computing centers [2][3] - Major cloud service providers (CSPs) are significantly increasing their capital expenditures (Capex) to enhance AI capabilities, with projections indicating a combined Capex of $361 billion from major overseas players by 2025, and over 360 billion yuan from domestic firms [2] - The emergence of silicon photonic modules is set to revolutionize optical communication, offering lower costs, reduced power consumption, and higher integration [4][67] Summary by Sections AI Data Center Interconnection Development Trends - The AI arms race has entered a new phase, with rapid iterations in intelligent computing center interconnection technologies [2][16] - The demand for AI capabilities is driving CSPs to invest heavily in their infrastructure, leading to increased Capex and a focus on self-developed ASIC chips [32] Development of Optical Modules/Silicon Photonic Modules - Silicon photonic modules are expected to capture a larger market share, growing from 34% in 2023 to 52% by 2029, driven by their advantages in cost and performance [55][67] - The market for silicon photonic modules is projected to reach $10.3 billion by 2029, with a CAGR of 45% over the past five years [4] Cutting-edge Optical Communication Technologies - New technologies such as Co-Packaged Optics (CPO), Optical Circuit Switching (OCS), and Optical Input/Output (OIO) are anticipated to play significant roles in the future of optical communication [5][96] - The global market for OCS is expected to exceed $1.6 billion, while the DCI market could reach $28.4 billion by 2029 [5] Major CSPs and Their Developments - Google, AWS, and Meta are leading the development of self-researched ASIC chips, with significant advancements in their respective architectures [3][32] - CSPs are increasingly focusing on high-density optical connections and innovative interconnection solutions to meet the growing demands of AI applications [21][106]
算力跌跌不休,新易盛较高点回撤超24%,创业板人工智能ETF(159363)失守60日线,未来机会如何?
Xin Lang Ji Jin· 2025-11-14 11:49
周五(11月14日),算力继续大调整,创业板人工智能指数单日跌超3%,成份股大面积飘绿。其中, 协创数据领跌超7%,光库科技、奥飞数据、网宿科技、新易盛、天孚通信、长芯博创等十余股跌超 4%,其中光模块CPO龙头新易盛创本轮调整新低,较10月29日高点回撤超24%。 热门ETF方面,重仓光模块等算力方向的创业板人工智能ETF(159363)场内收跌3.42%失守60日线, 单日缩量成交4.3亿元,资金逢跌净申购4400万份。 短期来看,操作上存在AI算力板块因资金流出而出现震荡加剧甚至加速调整的可能性。对长线投资者 而言,关键在于以更长远的产业视角审视景气度变化,保持耐心,理性看待短期波动,避免主线行情中 途"卖飞"。 一看基本面,光模块等算力股业绩成色如何? 以重仓光模块龙头的创业板人工智能为例,2025年三季报权重股业绩多数超预期。其中,受益于AI算 力需求驱动800G/1.6T光模块产品放量,中际旭创前三季度营收250.1亿元(同比+44.4%),净利润71.3 亿元(同比+90%);新易盛营收165.1亿元(同比+221.7%),净利润63.3亿元(同比+284.4%)。 单周复盘看,科技情绪退潮明显 ...
主力资金丨科技龙头股,资金密集出逃
(原标题:主力资金丨科技龙头股,资金密集出逃) 5个行业主力资金净流入。 据证券时报·数据宝统计,今日(11月14日),沪深两市主力资金净流出620.11亿元,其中创业板净流出257.8亿元,沪深300成份股净流出204.39亿 元。 行业方面,申万一级行业中,4个行业上涨,综合行业涨幅居首,达1.58%;房地产行业涨0.39%,银行和医药生物行业均涨超0.15%。25个下跌行 业中,电子行业跌幅居首,达3.09%;通信和传媒行业均跌超2%。 据数据宝统计,23股主力资金净流出超5亿元,其中9股主力资金净流出超8亿元。 算力、PCB、存储芯片龙头个股遭资金大幅卖出,其中新易盛主力资金净流出金额居首,达15.92亿元。此外,香农芯创、中际旭创、胜宏科技、 江波龙、天孚通信等科技股净流出均超7亿元。 9股尾盘主力资金净流入超0.5亿元 据数据宝统计,尾盘两市主力资金净流出136.67亿元,其中创业板尾盘主力资金净流出60.11亿元,沪深300成份股尾盘主力资金净流出49.68亿 元。 从资金流向来看,5个行业主力资金净流入,国防军工行业净流入居首,达8.46亿元;房地产行业居次席,净流入金额为5.45亿元;建筑装 ...
新易盛:三季度营收及净利润环比波动主要受部分产品阶段性出货节奏变化的影响
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Wang· 2025-11-14 10:41
证券日报网讯新易盛(300502)11月14日在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示,三季度营收及净利润环比 波动,主要受部分产品阶段性出货节奏变化的影响。从目前的市场需求及订单情况看,预计行业在2025 年Q4和明年将持续保持高景气度。 ...
创业板指配置空间仍存,创业板ETF博时(159908)投资价值凸显
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 05:32
近期市场估值水平处于历史中枢附近,宏观经济的恢复信号也逐渐明晰,前期涨幅较高的资产在动量反 转效应与核心资产吸筹的作用下波动较明显。 截至2025年11月14日 13:20,创业板指数下跌1.78%。成分股方面涨跌互现,先导智能领涨5.76%,易华 录上涨3.99%,晶盛机电上涨3.08%;江波龙领跌9.26%,北京君正下跌7.92%,协创数据下跌7.20%。创 业板ETF博时(159908)下跌1.62%,最新报价2.92元。拉长时间看,截至2025年11月13日,创业板ETF博 时近1月累计上涨3.99%。 流动性方面,创业板ETF博时盘中换手1.13%,成交1402.54万元。拉长时间看,截至11月13日,创业板 ETF博时近1月日均成交4537.46万元。 (文中个股仅作示例,不构成实际投资建议。基金有风险,投资需谨慎。) 以上产品风险等级为:中高(此为管理人评级,具体销售以各代销机构评级为准) 风险提示:基金不同于银行储蓄和债券等固定收益预期的金融工具,不同类型的基金风险收益情况不 同,投资人既可能分享基金投资所产生的收益,也可能承担基金投资所带来的损失。基金的过往业绩并 不预示其未来表现。投资者应 ...
资金逆势布局创业板人工智能ETF华夏、5G通信ETF,新易盛:公司在手订单充足
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-14 02:06
Group 1 - The AI computing sector is experiencing volatility and correction due to tightening overseas liquidity and concerns over a "bubble" in US tech stocks, with significant declines in ETFs such as the 5G Communication ETF and the Huaxia Entrepreneurial AI ETF [1] - Despite short-term fluctuations, the long-term growth trend of the industry remains intact, as indicated by the strong order backlog reported by optical module CPO company NewEase, which anticipates continued production ramp-up for its 1.6T products [1] - According to CITIC Securities, the narrative around AI capital expenditures (CAPEX) in the US is likely to persist in the short term, with projections for 2025/2026 showing a year-on-year increase of 61% and 27% for the top four North American cloud service providers, and a 94% and 159% increase for AI CAPEX [1] Group 2 - The Huaxia Entrepreneurial AI ETF (159381) tracks the Entrepreneurial AI Index and has a significant weight in optical module CPOs, with the top three holdings being Zhongji Xuchuang, NewEase, and Tianfu Communication [2] - The 5G Communication ETF (515050) tracks the CSI 5G Communication Theme Index and focuses on companies within the Nvidia, Apple, and Huawei supply chains, with major holdings including Zhongji Xuchuang, NewEase, and Lixun Precision [2]
新易盛:在手订单充足,产能处于持续释放过程中
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-14 01:02
每经AI快讯,11月14日,新易盛(300502)在互动平台表示,公司在手订单充足,三季度营收环比波 动主要受部分产品阶段性出货节奏变化的影响,目前产能正处于持续释放过程中。 ...
新易盛:公司在手订单充足 产能正处于持续释放过程中
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-14 00:55
新易盛在互动平台表示,公司在手订单充足,三季度营收环比波动主要受部分产品阶段性出货节奏变化 的影响,目前产能正处于持续释放过程中,谢谢! ...
新易盛:公司预计1.6T 产品在今年Q4至明年将处于持续放量的阶段
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-14 00:55
(文章来源:每日经济新闻) 每经AI快讯,有投资者在投资者互动平台提问:您好,贵公司1.6t光模块进展如何,后续是否有积极的 预期? 新易盛(300502.SZ)11月14日在投资者互动平台表示,公司预计1.6T 产品在今年Q4至明年将处于持续 放量的阶段。 ...
沪深300ETF中金(510320)涨0.64%,半日成交额418.23万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-13 03:46
沪深300ETF中金(510320)业绩比较基准为沪深300指数收益率,管理人为中金基金管理有限公司,基 金经理为刘重晋,成立(2025-04-16)以来回报为24.78%,近一个月回报为0.78%。 来源:新浪基金∞工作室 11月13日,截止午间收盘,沪深300ETF中金(510320)涨0.64%,报1.259元,成交额418.23万元。沪深 300ETF中金(510320)重仓股方面,宁德时代截止午盘涨8.18%,贵州茅台跌0.32%,中国平安涨 1.08%,招商银行跌0.23%,紫金矿业涨4.95%,新易盛跌1.85%,中际旭创跌2.19%,美的集团跌 0.73%,东方财富涨0.57%,长江电力跌1.19%。 风险提示:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文为AI大模型自动发布,任何在本文出现的信息(包括但不 限于个股、评论、预测、图表、指标、理论、任何形式的表述等)均只作为参考,不构成个人投资建 议。 ...