Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock price will outperform the benchmark index by over 20% in the next 6-12 months [2][5]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant reduction in losses for the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -34.03 billion RMB, compared to -65.05 billion RMB in the same period of 2024, indicating a notable improvement [8]. - The company's gross margin and cash flow have improved year-on-year, reflecting stable operations. The gross margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 4.89%, marking a continuous increase over two consecutive quarters [8]. - The "anti-involution" strategy is being effectively implemented, with expectations for price recovery across the photovoltaic industry chain, which could lead to improved profitability [8]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 50,914.57 million RMB, a decrease of 13.10% year-on-year. The operating profit was -4,045.16 million RMB, showing a reduction in losses compared to the previous year [9]. - The company’s EBITDA for 2025 is projected to be 1,825 million RMB, with a significant recovery expected in 2026 and 2027 [7]. - The latest diluted earnings per share (EPS) forecast for 2025 is -0.61 RMB, a downward revision from the previous estimate of 0.75 RMB [5][7]. Market Position and Shareholder Information - The total market capitalization of the company is approximately 159,972.85 million RMB, with 7,578.06 million shares outstanding [4]. - Major shareholder Li Zhenguo holds a 14.08% stake in the company, indicating a significant level of insider ownership [4].
隆基绿能(601012):三季度同环比减亏,“反内卷”推动盈利修复