地平线机器人-W(09660):ZF合作验证J6P系统级竞争力,全球Tier-1双锚定加速估值重估

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for Horizon Robotics with a target price of HK$12.50, up from a previous target of HK$12.30 [2][16]. Core Insights - The partnership with ZF Group validates the system-level competitiveness of Horizon Robotics' J6P chip, enhancing its commercial viability and expanding its market reach [3][5][16]. - The J6P platform has been recognized for meeting international Tier-1 integration standards, indicating its advanced performance and efficiency [4][14]. - Horizon Robotics is positioned to leverage ZF's extensive global network to accelerate overseas customer acquisition, with expectations of overseas revenue reaching approximately 10% by FY27E [5][15][16]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for Horizon Robotics are estimated at RMB3.48 billion, RMB5.91 billion, and RMB8.89 billion for FY25, FY26, and FY27 respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 67.5%, 61.8%, and 57.9% [2][16]. - The gross profit margin is expected to decline from 77.3% in FY24 to 57.2% by FY27, indicating a shift in product mix and pricing strategy [11]. - The company anticipates a net profit of RMB -7.05 billion in FY25, with a gradual improvement expected in subsequent years [10][11].