Baolong Automotive(SH:603197) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-04 04:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of approximately 6.048 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.3%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 20.3% year-on-year to 198 million yuan, and the net profit after deducting non-recurring items fell by 37.0% year-on-year to 132 million yuan, slightly below expectations [5][7] - The company experienced a quarter-on-quarter revenue increase of 13.9% in Q3 2025, reaching 2.098 billion yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 63 million yuan, showing a significant quarter-on-quarter improvement of 60.0% [7] - The company is expected to see further growth in its air suspension business in Q4, driven by strong orders from models such as NIO ES8 and Li Auto L90, which are anticipated to lead to record-high revenue in this segment [7] - The company has slightly adjusted its profit forecast for 2025-2027, now projecting net profits of 354 million yuan, 493 million yuan, and 624 million yuan respectively, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 17.0%, 39.4%, and 26.5% [7] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - For 2025, the total revenue is estimated at 8.661 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 23.3%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 354 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 17.0% [6] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was reported at 21.3%, with a slight quarter-on-quarter improvement of 0.9 percentage points [7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) for 2025 is projected to be 10.6%, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 23 [6][7]