SHANTUI(SZ:000680) Bank of China Securities·2025-11-04 04:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expectation that the stock price will exceed the benchmark index by more than 20% over the next 6-12 months [2][4][6]. Core Views - The company has shown steady overall performance with a significant rebound in profit growth in Q3 2025. For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 10.488 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.36%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 838 million RMB, up 15.67% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue was 3.484 billion RMB, growing 1.04%, while net profit surged 33.44% to 270 million RMB [4][9][10]. - The company is positioned as a leading manufacturer of bulldozers in China, with ongoing expansion in excavator and mining machinery businesses, as well as growth in overseas markets, which is expected to further enhance growth potential [4][6][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a gross margin of 20.53%, an increase of 1.59 percentage points year-on-year, and a net margin of 8.01%, up 0.91 percentage points year-on-year. The total expense ratio was well-controlled at 10.52%, slightly down by 0.11 percentage points [9][10]. - The company has adjusted its revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 to 15.775 billion RMB, 18.072 billion RMB, and 21.150 billion RMB, respectively, with net profits projected at 1.282 billion RMB, 1.609 billion RMB, and 1.922 billion RMB, respectively. The expected EPS for these years is 0.85 RMB, 1.07 RMB, and 1.28 RMB, corresponding to P/E ratios of 13.0, 10.3, and 8.7 times [6][8][9]. Growth Drivers - The company has completed the integration of Shandong Heavy Industry's construction machinery segment, which is expected to enhance its operational scale in the engineering machinery sector. The excavator business is anticipated to become a second growth curve, leveraging sales channels and supply chain advantages [9][10]. - The launch of the TEH260 rigid mining truck represents a significant step in enhancing the company's strategic positioning and brand influence in the mining sector [9][10].