ZHONGSHENGYAOYE(SZ:002317) Donghai Securities·2025-11-04 07:04Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated steady revenue growth and significant improvement in profitability, with a 68.40% year-on-year increase in net profit for the first three quarters of 2025 [6] - The research and development pipeline is entering a harvest phase, with three core products progressing well, including the innovative flu drug, which has shown strong efficacy against resistant strains [6] - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 28.41 billion, 33.36 billion, and 39.17 billion from 2025 to 2027, with corresponding net profits of 3.07 billion, 3.66 billion, and 4.81 billion [6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 1.889 billion (down 1.01% year-on-year) and a net profit of 251 million (up 68.40% year-on-year) [6] - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 56.80%, and the net profit margin was 13.00% [6] - The company expects to recover from the impact of centralized procurement, leading to a stable recovery in its traditional Chinese medicine business [6] Research and Development - The flu drug, Angladiwe Tablets, has been approved and is being commercialized, with a pricing strategy of 320 yuan per treatment [6] - RAY1225, a dual-target GLP-1/GIP drug, is progressing well in clinical trials, with significant advantages over competitors [6] - ZSP1601, a unique PDE inhibitor, is expected to meet unmet clinical needs in the MASH field, with data readout anticipated in Q4 2025 [6] Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 28.41 billion, 33.36 billion, and 39.17 billion respectively, with net profits of 3.07 billion, 3.66 billion, and 4.81 billion [6] - The expected EPS for the same years are 0.36, 0.43, and 0.57, with corresponding P/E ratios of 55.94, 46.95, and 35.64 [6]