JA SOLAR(SZ:002459) GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-11-04 10:39Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company reported a significant decline in revenue for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 36.809 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.27%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was -3.553 billion yuan, with a basic earnings per share of -1.08 yuan [1][2] - The gross margin showed signs of recovery, with the third quarter sales gross margin at -0.88%, an improvement from -0.95% in the second quarter and -6.7% in the first quarter, indicating a reduction in unit product loss pressure [1] - The company has maintained positive operating cash flow for 15 consecutive years, with a net cash flow from operating activities of 4.695 billion yuan as of the end of September, and cash reserves of 24.242 billion yuan, enhancing its risk resilience [2] - The company has launched an employee stock incentive plan covering 1,974 core employees, accounting for 4.89% of the total share capital, which is expected to stimulate the core team's vitality [2] - The company is accelerating its H-share listing process to broaden international financing channels, reflecting its strategic foresight in capital operations [2] Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 36.809 billion yuan, with a projected revenue of 46.309 billion yuan for the full year, representing a year-on-year decline of 34% [3] - The net profit forecast for 2025 is -4.673 billion yuan, with expected recoveries in 2026 and 2027 to 2.855 billion yuan and 3.887 billion yuan, respectively [3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be -1.41 yuan for 2025, with a recovery to 0.86 yuan in 2026 and 1.17 yuan in 2027 [3] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is expected to be -20.6% in 2025, improving to 11.2% in 2026 and 13.2% in 2027 [3]