wsdl(SH:600995) Guoxin Securities·2025-11-04 11:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][24]. Core Views - The company achieved a 37% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to shareholders in the first three quarters of 2025, driven by increased hydropower generation and new energy storage projects coming online [1][8]. - The company is nearing a period of intensive production with a total installed capacity of 10.58 million kilowatts in pumped storage and 10 ongoing projects, which are expected to contribute significantly to future revenue [2][19]. - The new energy storage sector is anticipated to grow rapidly, supported by national policies aiming for an installed capacity of over 180 million kilowatts by 2027, which will drive direct investments of approximately 250 billion yuan [2][24]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of 5.32 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.72%, and a net profit of 1.433 billion yuan, up 37.13% [1][8]. - In Q3 2025 alone, revenue reached 2.019 billion yuan, reflecting a 25.59% year-on-year growth, while net profit was 601 million yuan, marking a 43.41% increase [1][8]. - The growth was primarily attributed to increased hydropower generation and contributions from new energy storage projects [1][8]. Project Development - As of September 2025, the company has a total installed capacity of 10.58 million kilowatts in pumped storage, with 10 projects under construction, including significant projects in Guangdong and Guangxi [2][19]. - The first unit of the Meizhou Phase II project was commissioned in August 2025, with plans for full production by the end of the year [2][19]. Market Outlook - The national plan for new energy storage aims for a significant increase in capacity by 2027, which is expected to enhance market mechanisms and encourage participation in energy markets [2][24]. - The company is positioned as a key player in the new energy storage sector, which is expected to see rapid growth due to supportive government policies [2][24]. Profitability and Valuation - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 1.591 billion yuan, 1.916 billion yuan, and 2.186 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding growth rates of 41%, 20%, and 14% [3][24]. - The projected price-to-earnings (PE) ratios for the upcoming years are 25, 21, and 18 times [3][24].