AMOYTOP(SH:688278) Guoxin Securities·2025-11-04 11:30Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][15] Core Insights - The core product, Pegb interferon α-2b injection (brand name: Pegbin), has received approval for a new indication for functional cure of chronic hepatitis B, which is expected to enhance its market position [2][3] - The company reported a revenue of 2.48 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 26.9%, and a net profit of 666 million yuan, up 20.2% [1][8] - The approval of Pegbin is based on clinical trial results showing that 31.4% of patients achieved HBsAg seroclearance and sustained HBV DNA suppression after treatment [2][3] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved quarterly revenues of 673 million yuan, 837 million yuan, and 969 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 23.5%, 29.9%, and 26.7% respectively [1][8] - The net profit for the same period was 182 million yuan, 246 million yuan, and 238 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 41.4%, 40.0%, and -4.6% respectively [1][8] - The gross margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 92.6%, with a net margin of 26.9% [9] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 3.77 billion yuan, 4.96 billion yuan, and 6.40 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.07 billion yuan, 1.54 billion yuan, and 2.17 billion yuan [4][18] - The projected PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 29x, 20x, and 14x respectively [3][15] Market Position and Product Development - Pegbin is currently the only long-acting interferon product in China, and the company is expected to benefit from the growing patient population with chronic hepatitis B [3][15] - The approval of long-acting growth hormone further enhances the company's product portfolio, which is anticipated to contribute to sales growth [3][15]