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东方雨虹(002271):收入转正,海外市场加速开拓

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 20.6 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 810 million yuan, down 37% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 770 million yuan, a decrease of 30% year-on-year. In the third quarter, revenue reached 7 billion yuan, an increase of 9% year-on-year, with a net profit of 250 million yuan, down 27% year-on-year, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 260 million yuan, remaining flat year-on-year [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company's gross margin for the first three quarters was approximately 25.2%, a decrease of 3.9 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for the third quarter was about 24.8%, down 4.1 percentage points year-on-year and down 1.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter. The decline in gross margin is attributed to concentrated rebates from the civil construction group and the timing of revenue recognition in construction business [11]. - The company reported a significant improvement in accounts receivable, with accounts receivable and notes totaling approximately 9.3 billion yuan at the end of the third quarter, down from about 11.4 billion yuan in the same period last year, reflecting adjustments in channel structure and risk management [11]. Market Expansion - The company is accelerating its overseas market expansion, which is expected to become a significant growth engine in the future. The overseas business is projected to scale up by 2027, supported by capacity expansion in locations such as Houston, Saudi Arabia, Malaysia, and Canada. The Malaysian factory completed trial production in the first half of this year [11]. - The company announced the acquisition of 100% equity in Chile's Construmart S.A. for 12.3 million USD (approximately 88 million yuan), which is expected to create strong synergies due to overlapping product categories [11]. Future Outlook - The company forecasts earnings of 1 billion yuan, 2.1 billion yuan, and 2.5 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding valuations of 31, 15, and 13 times earnings, indicating a relatively low valuation [11].