LZLJ(SZ:000568) Guohai Securities·2025-11-04 15:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9]. Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 23.127 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.84%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 10.762 billion yuan, down 7.17% year-on-year [2][3]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of 6.674 billion yuan, a decline of 9.80% year-on-year, and a net profit of 3.099 billion yuan, down 13.07% year-on-year [2][3]. - The company is focusing on inventory reduction and product innovation to prepare for future growth, with a stable pricing strategy despite the decline in sales volume [6][8]. Financial Performance Summary - The company’s gross profit margin decreased by 0.95 percentage points to 87.17% in Q3 2025, attributed to product mix effects. The net profit margin recorded was 46.44%, down 1.75 percentage points year-on-year [6][8]. - The company’s operating cash flow and cash receipts from sales decreased by 1.78% and 11.36% year-on-year, respectively [6][8]. - Contract liabilities stood at 3.838 billion yuan at the end of Q3 2025, showing stability with a year-on-year increase of 11.84% [6][8]. Earnings Forecast - The company’s revenue is projected to be 27.952 billion yuan in 2025, with net profit expected to be 11.784 billion yuan. The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted at 8.01 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 16 [6][8]. - For 2026 and 2027, the revenue is expected to grow to 29.182 billion yuan and 31.021 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 12.332 billion yuan and 13.200 billion yuan [6][8].