JINHUI(SH:603919) ZHESHANG SECURITIES·2025-11-04 15:37Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company has experienced a decline in revenue and net profit in Q3 2025, with revenue of 5.46 billion yuan, down 4.89% year-on-year, and a net profit of 0.25 billion yuan, down 33.02% year-on-year [4][8] - The company is adjusting its revenue growth forecasts for 2025-2027 to -0.99%, 6.20%, and 8.35%, respectively, with net profit growth forecasts of -3.13%, 7.77%, and 11.46% [4][10] - The increase in income tax rate significantly impacted profitability, rising to 43.23% in Q3 2025 from 26.18% in Q1-3 2025 [3] Financial Performance - For Q1-3 2025, the gross margin was 64.65% and the net margin was 13.56%, while for Q3 2025, the gross margin decreased to 61.44% and the net margin fell to 4.07% [3] - Operating cash flow for Q1-3 2025 was 283 million yuan, a decrease of 18.89% year-on-year, and for Q3 2025, it was -38 million yuan [3] - The company’s contract liabilities at the end of Q1-3 2025 were 632 million yuan, an increase of 32.73% year-on-year [3] Product Performance - In Q3 2025, the company’s product revenue was segmented as follows: above 300 yuan at 1.57 billion yuan (down 1.61%), 100-300 yuan at 2.58 billion yuan (down 16.55%), and below 100 yuan at 0.91 billion yuan (up 18.41%) [8] - The proportion of products priced above 300 yuan increased to 31.03% in Q3 2025, while products below 100 yuan accounted for 17.96% [8] Regional Performance - In Q3 2025, the company’s revenue from the domestic market was 3.55 billion yuan (down 5.2%), while revenue from the external market was 1.51 billion yuan (down 11.79%) [2] - The domestic market's revenue contribution increased to 70.23% in Q3 2025, up 1.53 percentage points [2]