JCHX(SH:603979) ZHONGTAI SECURITIES·2025-11-05 08:12Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [3] Core Views - The company has exceeded expectations in copper production and sales, indicating a high certainty growth target for investment [3] - The mining service business is steadily growing, while the resource segment is expanding [3] - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching 9.933 billion yuan, up 42.5% year-on-year, and net profit of 1.753 billion yuan, up 60.4% year-on-year [4] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 9.933 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.5%, and a net profit of 1.753 billion yuan, up 60.4% year-on-year [4] - The company’s revenue forecast for 2025 is 12.729 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 28% [3] - The projected net profit for 2025 is 2.471 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 56% [3] Mining Operations - The company has been progressively establishing and commissioning mining resources since 2019, focusing on copper, gold, silver, and phosphate [6] - The copper production for the first three quarters of 2025 was 64,053.11 tons, a year-on-year increase of 101%, with sales reaching 68,227.35 tons, up 123% year-on-year [7] - The company is actively advancing the Two Chah River phosphate mine project, with the southern mining area already in production [8] Cost Management - The company’s expense ratio decreased to 6.01% in the first three quarters of 2025, down 2.12 percentage points year-on-year [7] - Sales expenses decreased by 22.19% to 0.18 billion yuan, while management expenses increased by 5.15% to 3.96 billion yuan [7] Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve net profits of 2.471 billion yuan in 2025, 2.798 billion yuan in 2026, and 3.429 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 15.7, 13.9, and 11.3 [3] - The Lonshi copper mine is set to begin production in Q4 2023, with an annual output of approximately 40,000 tons of copper metal upon reaching full capacity [7]