BNBMPLC(SZ:000786) Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-05 13:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 29.17 CNY, reflecting a 15x PE for 2025 [4][7]. Core Views - The company's main business of gypsum board continues to face pressure, with a 17.8% year-on-year decline in net profit for the first three quarters, totaling 2.59 billion CNY [1]. - Despite the challenges in the gypsum board segment, the company is experiencing growth in its two wings of business, particularly in waterproofing and coatings, benefiting from an increase in market share [2]. - The company is focusing on a strategy that combines organic growth with external expansion, aiming for high-quality development in niche markets [2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters, the company reported revenues of 19.91 billion CNY, a decrease of 2.3% year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.59 billion CNY, down 17.8% [1]. - The gross margin for the first three quarters was 29.5%, a decline of 1.2 percentage points year-on-year, with a net margin of 13.3%, down 2.4 percentage points [3]. - Operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 1.54 billion CNY, a decrease of 43.1% year-on-year, although the decline in Q3 was less severe at 13.3% [3]. Market Conditions - The price of gypsum board is expected to continue declining due to sustained pressure on demand, with a 16.8% year-on-year drop in housing completion area impacting demand [2]. - The company is implementing product upgrades and expanding into home decoration and rural markets to mitigate market decline and stabilize prices [2]. Future Outlook - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 to 3.31 billion CNY, 3.86 billion CNY, and 4.41 billion CNY, respectively, reflecting adjustments due to the declining gypsum board prices [4]. - The report emphasizes the potential for the company's "one body, two wings" strategy to yield positive results in the future [4].