EXPL(SZ:002096) Soochow Securities·2025-11-05 13:50Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [1] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in Q3 earnings, with new orders and international expansion showing strong performance [1] - Q3 revenue reached 2.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.6%, while net profit for the same period was 236 million yuan, up 36.0% year-on-year [7] - The company has a robust order backlog and is benefiting from major engineering demands, particularly in the Xinjiang and Tibet markets [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, total revenue was 7.356 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.7%, with a net profit of 644 million yuan, up 22.9% [7] - The gross margin for Q3 improved to 27.2%, an increase of 3.3 percentage points from the previous quarter, attributed to centralized procurement and cost control [7] - The company’s operating cash flow significantly improved, reaching 883 million yuan for the first three quarters, a 173% increase year-on-year [7] Order and Market Expansion Summary - New contracts signed in Q3 amounted to 2.835 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 170%, with a total of 10.826 billion yuan in new contracts for the first three quarters, up 36% [7] - The company is actively pursuing international projects, including contracts in Ethiopia, Liberia, and Malaysia, with overseas revenue accounting for 4.26% of total revenue in the first half of 2025 [7] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 870 million yuan, 1.026 billion yuan, and 1.203 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.70 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 19.69 based on the latest diluted EPS [1][8]