Anjoy food(SH:603345) Bank of China Securities·2025-11-06 00:03Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a market price of RMB 73.82 and a sector rating of "Outperform" [2][4]. Core Insights - The company has shown operational improvement in Q3 2025, with new channels achieving rapid growth. In the upcoming peak season, the company is expected to continue its performance growth through new products and channel synergies [2][5][10]. - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported revenue of RMB 11.37 billion, a year-on-year increase of 2.7%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of RMB 949 million, a decrease of 9.3% [5][12]. - The company is positioned as an industry leader, capable of quickly responding to external environmental changes, with significant cost advantages due to economies of scale [7][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved revenue of RMB 3.77 billion, up 6.6% year-on-year, and a net profit of RMB 273 million, up 11.8% year-on-year [12]. - The gross profit margin for Q3 2025 was 20%, showing a slight increase compared to the previous year [10][12]. - The company’s net profit margin improved to 7.3% in Q3 2025, up 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [12]. Revenue Breakdown - Revenue growth by product in Q3 2025: frozen prepared products +6.4%, dish products +8.8%, and frozen rice and noodle products -9.1% [10]. - Revenue by channel in Q3 2025: distributor channel RMB 29.6 billion (-0.6%), direct sales RMB 3.2 billion (+68.1%), supermarkets RMB 2.2 billion (+28.1%), and new retail and e-commerce RMB 2.7 billion (+38.1%) [10]. Future Projections - The company’s net profit forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are RMB 1.42 billion, RMB 1.57 billion, and RMB 1.71 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of -4.7%, +10.8%, and +9.1% respectively [7][9]. - The current market capitalization corresponds to a PE ratio of 17.4X for 2025, 15.7X for 2026, and 14.4X for 2027 [7][9].