新能源及有色金属日报:现货小幅下跌,碳酸锂盘面震荡运行-20251106

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No specific industry investment rating is provided in the reports. 2. Core View of the Report The current market shows a situation where spot prices of lithium carbonate have slightly declined, and the futures market is oscillating. With continuous inventory reduction and a change in the basis after a significant drop in the futures price, both the spot and futures markets are supported by the consumer side. Attention should be paid to the inflection points of consumption and inventory. If consumption weakens and mine production resumes, the inventory may shift from reduction to accumulation, leading to a potential decline in the futures market [1][3]. 3. Summary by Related Content Market Analysis - Futures Market: On November 5, 2025, the main contract 2601 of lithium carbonate opened at 78,440 yuan/ton and closed at 79,140 yuan/ton, a -0.45% change from the previous settlement price. The trading volume was 515,731 lots, and the open interest was 453,260 lots, down from 457,374 lots the previous day. The current basis is 1,800 yuan/ton, and the number of lithium carbonate warehouse receipts is 26,830 lots, a change of 340 lots from the previous day [1]. - Spot Market: According to SMM data, the price of battery - grade lithium carbonate is 78,700 - 82,300 yuan/ton, a -400 yuan/ton change from the previous day, and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 77,900 - 78,700 yuan/ton, also a -400 yuan/ton change. The price of 6% lithium concentrate is 925 US dollars/ton, a -20 US dollars/ton change from the previous day [1]. - Supply: Lithium salt plants are operating at a high utilization rate, with both spodumene and salt - lake production ends maintaining over 60% utilization. It is expected that the domestic lithium carbonate production in November will remain at the same level as in October [1]. - Demand: The power market for new energy vehicles (both commercial and passenger) is growing rapidly, and the energy storage market has strong supply and demand, with supply remaining tight [1]. - Company News: On November 5, Salt Lake Co., Ltd. reported that its 40,000 - ton lithium salt project is in the trial - operation stage, and the annual production target of 3,000 tons is expected to be exceeded. Its subsidiary, Lan Ke Lithium Industry, has a total production capacity of about 40,000 tons after technological upgrades [2]. Strategy - Unilateral: In the short term, it is advisable to wait and see. Pay attention to the inflection points of inventory and consumption, and choose the opportunity to sell hedging at high prices [3]. - Other Strategies: No cross - period, cross - variety, spot - futures, or options strategies are provided [4].