Lion(SH:605358) Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-06 06:18Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [7] Core Views - The company achieved a turnaround in profitability in Q3 2025, with a revenue increase of 19.09% year-on-year, resulting in a net profit of 0.19 billion yuan [1][2] - The semiconductor industry is experiencing a recovery, driven by increased demand from downstream customers and the company's efforts in market expansion and product optimization [2] - The company has implemented a debt-to-equity swap, with a small percentage of convertible bonds converted into shares [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a total revenue of 2.64 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.94%, and an EBITDA of 0.797 billion yuan, up 18.92% year-on-year [1] - The company's semiconductor silicon wafer business generated a revenue of 1.976 billion yuan in the first three quarters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.66% [3] - The sales volume of 6-inch wafers reached 14.53 million pieces, a year-on-year increase of 32.54% [3] Business Growth and Market Position - The company is expanding its production capacity, particularly in low-orbit satellite products, which have begun large-scale shipments [5] - The company has successfully entered various markets, including aerospace and defense, with its products being adopted by major domestic and international smartphone brands [5] - The average selling price of products increased by 15.25% year-on-year, despite a decrease in sales volume due to a strategic shift away from low-margin products [3] Future Revenue Projections - Revenue forecasts for the company are 3.772 billion yuan for 2025, 4.626 billion yuan for 2026, and 5.519 billion yuan for 2027, with expected net profits of -0.88 billion yuan, 0.37 billion yuan, and 0.74 billion yuan respectively [5]