ZJJH(SH:600160) Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-06 07:15Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for the third quarter, with a year-on-year growth of 187% and a total net profit of 12 billion yuan [1] - The refrigerant industry remains buoyant, with the company benefiting from a production quota system that is expected to sustain long-term price increases [4] - The company is positioned as a leading player in the refrigerant market, holding a 39.33% share of the national production quota for HFCs [4] Revenue and Profitability - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 20.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14%, and a net profit of 3.25 billion yuan, up 160% [1] - The refrigerant segment generated 9.35 billion yuan in revenue, representing a 48% year-on-year increase, contributing 46% to total revenue [2] - The average price of refrigerants increased significantly, with R32 priced at 57,000 yuan/ton, up 62% year-on-year [2] Segment Performance - Other segments, such as fluorochemical raw materials and fluoropolymer materials, showed mixed results, with revenues of 990 million yuan and 1.4 billion yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 10.5% and 5.5% [3] - The food packaging materials segment faced a decline in revenue, down 27% year-on-year, due to weak market demand [3] Future Outlook - The company is expected to see continued growth in net profit, with projections of 4.44 billion yuan, 5.43 billion yuan, and 6.59 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4] - The company maintains a strong market position and is well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing demand for refrigerants and the implementation of production quotas [4]