恒立液压（601100）：液压件领军企业，横向布局丝杠等成长市场

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [2]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a benchmark in the domestic hydraulic industry, focusing on the development of hydraulic transmission control equipment and systems integration, with a significant emphasis on non-standard hydraulic cylinders and valves [5][6]. - The hydraulic industry is entering an upward phase, driven by favorable policies and accelerating domestic substitution, particularly in the engineering machinery sector [6][40]. - The company has invested 1.4 billion yuan in a linear actuator project, which is expected to enhance its product offerings and market reach [2][18]. Financial Summary - The company's projected net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 is estimated at 2.747 billion, 3.220 billion, and 3.665 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 42.63, 36.36, and 31.95 times [2][3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 8.985 billion yuan in 2023 to 13.897 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 14.71% [3][4]. - The company’s net profit margin is projected to remain stable, with a slight increase in profitability expected over the forecast period [25][28]. Industry Outlook - The hydraulic industry is projected to grow significantly, with the global market expected to reach approximately 51.57 billion USD by 2024 and 77.82 billion USD by 2034, indicating a CAGR of 4.2% [40][43]. - The domestic excavator market is recovering, with sales expected to increase significantly in the coming years, driven by infrastructure investment and equipment upgrades [41][49]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for hydraulic components in various sectors, including construction and agriculture, as the market shifts towards high-efficiency and energy-saving hydraulic systems [6][44].