SFY(SZ:002572) Guotou Securities·2025-11-06 09:06Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy-A" with a target price of 16.50 CNY, maintaining the rating [5]. Core Views - The company has shown a slight improvement in gross margin and a positive growth in net profit for Q3 2025, despite a decline in revenue for the first three quarters [1][3]. - The company is actively expanding its "multi-brand, full-category, and all-channel" strategy, focusing on both domestic and overseas markets [2][4]. - The company aims to enhance its market share through refined channel management and an upgraded whole-house customization strategy [4]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 7.008 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 8.46%, and a net profit of 682 million CNY, down 26.05% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.457 billion CNY, a decline of 9.88% year-on-year, but a net profit of 362 million CNY, reflecting a growth of 1.44% [1]. - The gross margin for Q1-3 2025 was 35.24%, a decrease of 0.55 percentage points year-on-year, while Q3 2025 saw a gross margin of 36.83%, an increase of 0.97 percentage points [3]. - The net profit margin for Q1-3 2025 was 10.13%, down 2.54 percentage points year-on-year, while Q3 2025's net profit margin was 15.32%, up 1.54 percentage points [3]. Strategic Initiatives Summary - The company has established a robust presence in the integrated decoration channel, with 283 cooperative decoration companies and 728 sample stores across 221 cities [2]. - The overseas channel has been expanded through high-end retail, engineering projects, and distributors, with 29 overseas distributors covering 23 countries/regions [2]. - The company is collaborating with quality overseas developers and contractors to provide customized solutions for approximately 132 engineering projects in 32 countries/regions [2]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 10.103 billion CNY, 10.482 billion CNY, and 10.899 billion CNY, with expected year-on-year growth rates of -3.73%, 3.75%, and 3.98% respectively [8]. - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is 1.056 billion CNY, 1.168 billion CNY, and 1.239 billion CNY, with growth rates of -23.00%, 10.65%, and 6.09% respectively [8].