Suzhou Centec (SH:688702) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-06 09:16Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [6]. Core Insights - The company reported a significant improvement in its Q3 performance, with revenue reaching 324 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 33 million yuan, a substantial recovery from previous losses [6]. - The gross margin for Q3 was 52.99%, up 11.17 percentage points from the previous year, attributed to supply chain optimization and changes in sales structure [6]. - The company is positioned to benefit from the acceleration of domestic production processes, with its high-end Ethernet switching chips entering the market and being adopted by major domestic switch manufacturers [6]. - The company maintains a high level of R&D investment, with a R&D expense ratio of 42.25% for the first three quarters of 2025, which is expected to enhance product development and core technology breakthroughs [6]. - The company is involved in the OISA ecological collaboration, which aims to enhance GPU interconnect bandwidth, supporting large-scale AI training and inference in China [6]. Financial Data and Earnings Forecast - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 832 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.0%. The projected revenue for 2025 is 1.34 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 23.9% [5]. - The net profit forecast for 2025 is 12 million yuan, with significant growth expected in subsequent years, reaching 133 million yuan by 2027 [5]. - The gross margin is projected to remain strong, with estimates of 46.1% for 2025 and around 45.8% for 2027 [5].