CSCEC(SH:601668) Tianfeng Securities·2025-11-06 11:15Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [6][17]. Core Views - The company experienced a temporary pressure on performance in Q3, with a focus on the subsequent order conversion speed to support earnings [1]. - The construction business saw a year-on-year increase in new contracts, particularly in energy and municipal projects, while overseas operations also showed good growth [2]. - The company's gross and net profit margins have slightly declined, but there is a notable improvement in operating cash flow [3]. - The long-term investment value of the company is viewed positively, with an expected increase in market share and a current dividend yield of nearly 5% [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 15582.20 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.20% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 381.82 billion yuan, down 3.83% [1]. - In Q3 alone, the company reported revenue of 4499.12 billion yuan, a decline of 6.64% year-on-year, with net profits dropping by 24.14% [1]. - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 8.72%, a decrease of 0.11 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 3.17%, down 0.04 percentage points [3]. Order and Contract Growth - The company signed new contracts worth 30383 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 1.7% [2]. - Notable growth was observed in specific sectors, such as energy engineering with a 31.2% increase and municipal engineering with a 27.8% increase [2]. Cash Flow and Financial Ratios - The company reported a cash flow from operations (CFO) net outflow of 694.79 billion yuan, which is an improvement of 75.30 billion yuan year-on-year [3]. - The current cash collection ratio improved by 1.05 percentage points to 101.26% [3]. Future Projections - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is 475.1 billion yuan, with a gradual increase expected in subsequent years [4]. - The company is expected to maintain a strong market position as a leading state-owned enterprise in the construction sector [4].