浙矿股份（300837）：下游需求持续承压，公司积极拓展海外及运营端业务

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [4] Core Views - The company is actively expanding its overseas and operational business in response to ongoing pressure from downstream demand in the sand and gravel aggregate industry [7] - The company is recognized as a leading supplier of mid-to-high-end mining machinery in China, with potential for rapid growth through its expansion into mining operations and overseas markets [7] Financial Performance Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 469 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.90%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 52 million yuan, down 42.62% [5] - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 138 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 34.02%, and a net profit of 18 million yuan, up 92.83% [6] - The company's operating cash flow for the first three quarters was -12 million yuan, indicating operational pressure, although there was an improvement compared to Q3 2024 [6] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenues of 653 million yuan for 2024, 713 million yuan for 2025, and 791 million yuan for 2026, with growth rates of 19% and 9% respectively [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 80 million yuan in 2024, 86 million yuan in 2025, and 97 million yuan in 2026, with a growth rate of 7% for 2025 [4] Market Conditions - The sand and gravel aggregate industry is under pressure due to a decline in demand from the real estate and infrastructure sectors, with national sand production down 4% in the first half of 2025 [7] - The average price of sand and gravel has decreased, with a 10.7% year-on-year drop in the national average price to 90.2 yuan per ton in the first half of 2025 [7] Business Expansion - The company has successfully expanded its operational management business, achieving revenue of 48.37 million yuan in 2024 and 69.90 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [7] - The overseas revenue reached 58.61 million yuan, accounting for 17.71% of total revenue, a significant increase from 7.81% at the end of 2024 [7]