高通(QCOM):FY2025 业绩点评:FY2025 业绩超预期,高端手机 SoC 需求提升,汽车、IoT 业务收入维持高速增长
QualcommQualcomm(US:QCOM) EBSCN·2025-11-06 14:30

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Qualcomm (QCOM.O) [6] Core Insights - Qualcomm's FY2025 performance exceeded expectations, driven by increased demand for high-end mobile SoCs and robust growth in automotive and IoT business segments [1][2][3][4] - The company reported Non-GAAP revenue of $44.141 billion for FY2025, a 13% year-over-year increase, surpassing Bloomberg consensus estimates of $43.690 billion [1] - For FY26Q1, Qualcomm's guidance also exceeded expectations, projecting Non-GAAP revenue between $11.8 billion and $12.6 billion, compared to the consensus estimate of $11.592 billion [1] Summary by Sections QCT Mobile Business - FY2025 mobile business revenue reached $27.793 billion, a 12% increase year-over-year, primarily due to rising demand for high-end Snapdragon chips from Android OEMs [2] - The launch of the Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen5 SoC is expected to enhance Qualcomm's market position, with Samsung's supply share projected to remain high at 75% [2] QCT IoT Business - FY2025 IoT revenue was $6.617 billion, reflecting a 22% year-over-year growth, driven by increased shipments in consumer, industrial, and edge network products [3] - The acquisition of Arduino is expected to strengthen Qualcomm's competitive edge in the edge AI sector [3] - New SoCs for high-end PCs and strong demand for XR and AI glasses are anticipated to contribute to future growth [3] QCT Automotive Business - FY2025 automotive revenue reached $3.957 billion, a significant 36% increase year-over-year, attributed to higher shipments of vehicles equipped with Qualcomm's smart cockpit technology [4] - The collaboration with BMW on the Snapdragon RidePilot system for L2+ driving assistance is being validated in over 60 countries, with plans for expansion [4] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts GAAP net profits of $11.5 billion for FY2026, $12.5 billion for FY2027, and $13 billion for FY2028, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 108%, 8%, and 4% respectively [4] - Current price corresponds to FY2026-2028 P/E ratios of 17X, 15X, and 15X [4]