XZCE(SZ:002534) Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-11-06 14:44Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook compared to the market [6]. Core Insights - The company experienced a decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, with total revenue of 4.33 billion yuan, down 11.2% year-on-year, and a net profit of 177 million yuan, down 58.31% year-on-year [4][6]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company showed strong cash flow performance, with operating cash flow net amounting to 348 million yuan, a significant increase of 129.75% year-on-year [6]. - The company is transitioning from traditional equipment sales to high-value comprehensive solutions, with a total order backlog of 5.884 billion yuan as of the end of Q3 2025 [6]. - The chairman's recent stock purchase reflects confidence in the company's long-term development [6]. - The redemption of convertible bonds has improved the company's capital structure, reducing the debt-to-asset ratio from 68.59% to 60.74% [6]. - The company is focusing on nuclear power and solar thermal energy as growth areas, with expected net profits of 442 million yuan, 507 million yuan, and 600 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [6]. Financial Summary - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported total revenue of 4.33 billion yuan and a net profit of 177 million yuan [4]. - The projected total revenue for 2025 is 6.325 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of -1.7% [5]. - The projected net profit for 2025 is 442 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 0.6% [5]. - The company's gross margin is expected to be 15.9% in 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 8.2% [5].