CASHWAY(SH:603106) Dongxing Securities·2025-11-07 08:54Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Recommended" rating for Hengyin Technology [4][48][5] Core Viewpoints - Hengyin Technology is positioned as a leading provider of smart banking solutions in China, leveraging a "smart terminal + AI algorithm + scenario ecosystem" strategy to drive its growth and transformation in the financial technology sector [1][17] - The company has successfully expanded its business into various sectors beyond finance, including government, healthcare, and transportation, establishing itself as a comprehensive solution provider [1][24] - The company is experiencing a recovery in profits, with significant growth in overseas markets contributing to improved revenue and net profit forecasts for the coming years [2][32][37] Summary by Sections 1. Strategic Framework - Hengyin Technology focuses on the development and application of smart terminals and AI algorithms, aiming to support traditional banks in their transition to smart banking [1][17] - The company has built a robust product matrix covering multiple scenarios, including finance, government, and social security, and has established stable partnerships with major banks and financial institutions [24][21] 2. Profit Recovery and International Expansion - From 2021 to 2023, the company faced declining revenues and profits due to macroeconomic factors and market competition, but it began to recover in 2024, driven by cost reduction and international market expansion [2][32] - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit, with overseas revenue showing explosive growth, indicating the effectiveness of its international strategy [37][38] 3. Policy and Technology Drivers - The self-service terminal industry is expected to enter a growth phase, supported by national policies promoting digital finance and technological advancements [3][43] - The market size for self-service terminals is projected to grow from 35 billion yuan in 2019 to 65 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting strong internal growth momentum [3][44] 4. Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts net profits of 56.47 million yuan, 79 million yuan, and 90 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.11, 0.15, and 0.17 yuan [4][48] - The report highlights a significant improvement in profitability metrics, with a projected return on equity (ROE) increasing from -16.43% in 2023 to 5.87% in 2027 [10][50]